Nowitzki and Ellis is not a new courtroom buddy comedy on USA, it's a potent and dangerous duo in Dallas.
Heading into tonight's game against the Sacramento Kings (now with newly acquired, rapidly fading, and stat-hating small forward, Rudy
Gay!), the Dallas Mavericks are riding a three game win streak. They are
fresh off a thrilling, buzzer beater win over the Portland Trailblazers
who (as we predicted last month) have become the toast of the NBA.
Right now, the Mavericks are 13-8 and are sitting sixth in the Western
Conference. They have the look of a team that could easily play spoiler
in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. And it has come as somewhat of a
How did we get here? Well, you basically have
to look at three factors. First, Rick Carlisle is one of the best
coaches in the NBA (as well as one of the best Popovich impersonators/Jim Carey look-a-likes on the planet). Second, Dirk
Nowitzki is fully healthy and is torturing the league with his unparalleled variety of silky, off balance jump shots and herky-jerky,
somehow-he-got-to-the-rim drives like it was once again the 2011 NBA
Finals. Finally, potentially risky off-season acquisition Monta Ellis is
playing the best basketball of his career.
has been chronicled in numerous places (most expertly by Jonathan Abrams at Grantland) and in countless snarky tweets. And rightfully so.
His eight year career averages of 19.5 points per game and 45% shooting
on 16.4 attempts per game don't look terrible considering his
reputation as a reckless gunner, but watching Monta in years past, you
just did not see the shot selection and decision making of a true NBA
superstar. After a fantastic, eye-opening year playing in the "We Believe" Golden State Warriors of 2006-2007 (16.5 points per game, 4.1
assists, 3.2 rebounds and 47.5% FG, 13.1 attempts per game), he spent
the next four full seasons jacking up shots (15.1, 17.2, 22.0, 20.1
respectively) on increasingly depressing Golden State teams. He spent
the past one and half seasons in Milwaukee where he and Brandon Jennings
struggled to exist in the backcourt and generally played unpleasant
Now, sharing the court with Dirk, disciplined
role players and an excellent head coach, Monta is flourishing for the
first time since he played alongside peak-era Baron Davis and a bunch of
high-chemistry supporting players on the "We Believe" Warriors. He's
averaging 21.6 points per game on 47% shooting (including a record high
38% from three), averaging 5.7 assists, 1.6 steals and, at 18.9, has his
highest PER since 2008. He has teamed with Dirk to create a highly
potent and dangerous pick and roll tandem that should only see the
variety in which they attack increase as the season goes along and
Carlisle has more time to experiment.
Monta is just
playing smarter. In Carlisle's offense, he has taken 50 three pointers so far this season. A fifth of those shots (a rate that should hopefully
increase over the season) have come from the corners, where he is
making 75% from the left corner and 50% from the right. Ellis has taken
78 long two-pointers and a trend that bears watching is as to whether or
not his three point attempts catch up tom and surpass his long twos,
which would signal a full sea change in his game. The majority of
Monta’s shots are coming from within eight feet of the basket where he
is shooting 49%, a number that will hopefully improve. But, on the plus
side, he is shooting above league average in all areas of the mid-range,
where he has taken 53 shots to date.
In addition, he is
second in the league in drives per game at 10.3 (behind only Ty Lawson's
11.1), and is one of only five players (Tony Parker, Evan Turner, Ramon
Sessions, and Eric Bledsoe) who is scoring more than 6 points per game
on his drives. Who is first on that list? Monta at 7.8 points per game.
This is all part of the Carlisle coaching effect.
the Big German had simply been vintage Dirk. He's thirty-five years old
and averaging 21.2 points per game, 5.9 rebounds, 51% shooting on
two-pointers, 42% on threes, and 93% from the foul line—all on 15.5
shots per game. His 23.5 PER is basically identical to the 23.4 he
posted in the Mavericks' 2011 title run. This season of Dirk is like
ordering a fine digestif after a long, slightly innovative, and
delicious dinner. It’s foreign, strong and full of finely aged flavor.
And you just want to savor it.
With Dirk and Monta playing
together better than anyone expected (especially after Monta's "I'm gonna play Montaball" proclamation), the Mavericks have become a viable
playoff team. They are receiving steady point guard play from Jose
Calderon (11.4 points per game, a 1/5 turnover to assist ratio), classic
intangibles and awkward but effective shooting from Shawn Marion,
inspired bench play from Vince Carter (the classy veteran!?), Jae Crowder and Dejuan Blair (9
points and 8 rebounds on zero ACLs!), and are still expecting to have
their big man rotation with the addition of Brandon Wright later in the
Right now, the Mavericks are matched up with
Oklahoma City in a potential first round match up. I know I'm getting
ahead of myself by mentioning playoff seeding, but it's worth thinking
about when measuring the Mavs' progress thus far this season. The
Thunder would be favored in that series, but couldn't you see it going
six or seven games? Couldn't Dirk outduel Durant one night? Couldn't
Monta hit a buzzer beater just like he did in Portland on Saturday?
may be a long-shot, but it's better than any Mavericks fan was
expecting going into the season. And after two disappointing post-title
campaigns, the Mavericks are looking dangerous once again.